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Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#1977 Seattle Mariners vs.
#1978 Boston Red Sox
Thursday, April 23, 2021 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Jordy
After splitting even with the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Seattle Mariners face another offensive monster in Thursday’s head-to-head clash with the Boston Red Sox. The Mariners did their part in holding the hard-hitting Dodgers to a total of four runs in two games. They’ll try to get their own offense going when staring down Boston’s starting pitcher Nick Pivetta. Seattle’s counter will be 25-year-old righty Justin Dunn.
Mariners proving they’re the real deal
There’s no better way of forcing people to take you seriously than going out and competing with the best team in baseball. That’s exactly what the Mariners did in their two-game meeting with the Los Angeles Dodgers, which ultimately ended in 1-1 split.
Through their first 18 games of the season, the Mariners are sitting at 11-7 and making fans question if they’re a contender or pretender in the AL West division. Are we just going to wake up one day and the Mariners will be back to scraping the bottom of the barrel?
Perhaps the four-game weekend series with the Red Sox can provide some more clarity. The Red Sox currently lead the league in average hits (9.67) and batting average (.287). J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts in particular are both ranked top-10 in the league in batting average and top-15 in OPS.
The pressure will fall on right-handed pitcher Justin Dunn to stand his ground on the mound. He is coming off his first win of the season over the Baltimore Orioles in a game where he allowed only one earned run in five innings, while accumulating six strikeouts. He’s throwing a 3.72 ERA on the season with a 1.34 WHIP.
We’ll see if it’s enough to hold off Boston’s bats early. More importantly, we’ll see if the Mariners can get their own bats going at the plate after being shut out by the Dodgers on Tuesday. As the Blue Jays proved on Wednesday night, you have to be able to hang points on the board to beat the Red Sox. It doesn’t help matters that the Mariners could still be without third baseman Ty France (forearm) for this game.
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Red Sox meet their match
The Blue Jays had the bats to compete with the Red Sox on Wednesday night. It took six runs and an ugly outing by pitcher Garrett Richards for Boston to unravel. But once the bats stopped, the heartbeat stopped for the recently surging Red Sox.
Will the same be the case against the Mariners on Thursday?
Seattle is averaging the second-least hits in the league, but they’re a formidable team that’s consistently finding ways to win games. Their bats won’t matter as much if they can bring Boston’s offense to its knees like the Blue Jays in the previous series meeting.
The Red Sox have to get back to cracking at the plate. They’re clearly at their best when they’re running up the scoreboard. They’ve also been at their best whenever Nick Pivetta is the starting pitcher. The 28-year-pld righty is throwing a 3.68 ERA with 14 strikeouts on top of a 2-0 record. If Pivetta can make the Red Sox forget about Richards’ performance, they’ll be in business in this meeting.Free Daily Lock Pick: NBA: LA Lakers vs. Dallas – April 22nd – (100% Confidence Release)
The top supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are:
- Mariners are 32-78 in their last 110 games against a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 14-37 in their last 51 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
- Mariners are 17-40 in the last 57 head-to-head meetings in Boston.
- Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 overall.
- Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games against a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a right-handed starter.
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The Red Sox got bludgeoned by the Blue Jays in a game where they got a taste of their own medicine. Garrett Richards bears the brunt of the responsibility with his early meltdown on the mound, but the offense for Boston got stagnant and couldn’t get it going consistently enough to compete.
That won’t happen on Thursday.
Boston is averaging 5.09 runs per game with the team slashing at .287/.347/.470. They are an exceptional offensive team that just so happened to be down on their luck in the previous series. They’ll respond emphatically against a Mariners team that lacks the offensive firepower to keep up with them.
Nick Pivetta being on the mound as well is a tough matchup for Seattle. He has been exceptional when pitching at Fenway Park and holding opponents to a .194 batting average. The 28-year-old right-handed pitcher has the arm talent to hold Seattle’s feet to the fire in the series opener. If anything, he’ll give the Red Sox the cushion they need to run away with the game on offense.
I’m rolling with Boston in this one.Prediction: Boston Red Sox (-164)
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The Red Sox will find more offensive success than they had against the Blue Jays in the opener on Thursday, but it won’t make up for a rough night for the Mariners. Nick Pivetta has looked strong on the mound at Fenway Park, and he’ll be facing a Mariners batting lineup that has been shut out in two of their last four games. They haven’t been able to keep it together consistently at the plate. The team could also still be without third baseman Ty France, who has played a key role for them offensively. A good showing from Pivetta will ensure that the under is the winning total in this one.Prediction: Under (9.5)
Written By Jordy McElroy , “Jordy”
Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast, and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he’s a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you’d have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY, and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from — just rolling hills, green valleys, and all the Sun Drop you can drink.