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Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#245 Dallas Stars vs.
#246 Tampa Bay Lightning
Friday, May 7, 2021 at 7:00pm EDT
Amalie Arena, Tampa
Written by Valdis Pans
Currently riding a seven-game point streak with six victories, the Tampa Bay Lightning (2nd in Central Division) are set to round off their two-game home set against the Dallas Stars (5th in Central), who have dropped five decisions in a row.
Stars Lose Fifth In Row
The current losing streak of the Dallas Stars (21-18-14) extended to five outings (0-3-2) after the team started its two-game road set against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a 6-2 defeat at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. The Stars outshot the hosts 22-20 and killed three of their four penalties, but went 0-for-2 with the man-advantage and conceded three unanswered snipes, including two empty-netters, in the final third after cutting Tampa Bay’s initial two-goal lead to 3-2 midway through the last period. Tyler Seguin (2 points this year) banked his second strike in as many games this season after returning to action following hip surgery, while Andrej Sekera (3 goals, 5 points) buried his first snipe in 22 outings.https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfX0%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1390301282733334528&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwinnersandwhiners.com%2Fgames%2Fnhl%2F5-7-2021%2Fdallas-stars-vs-tampa-bay-lightning-prediction-263%2F&sessionId=87f2caf80a48ea78a844128cc14b674affae413a&siteScreenName=WinnersWhiners&theme=light&widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&width=550px
Goalie Jake Oettinger stopped 14 shots on Wednesday to take his current performance status to 10-8-7 for the season with a 2.30 GAA and a .914 save percentage. He has picked up a 1-2-1 previous tally versus Tampa Bay with a 2.78 GAA and a .894 save percentage, while Anton Khudobin (11-10-7 on the year with a 2.50 GAA and a .906 save percentage) is 3-6-0 against the Lightning historically with a 3.03 GAA and a .890 save percentage. The Stars are 12th in least goals scored per game in 2020-21 (2.72), 7th in least goals conceded on average (2.60), 6th in power play (23.5%) and 19th in penalty kill (79.0%).
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Bolts Extend Point Stretch
The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-14-3) expanded their current point streak to seven matchups (6-0-1) after notching their second consecutive victory following a 6-2 triumph against the Dallas Stars at Amalie Arena on Wednesday. Erik Cernak (5 goals, 18 points this year) collected a snipe and two assists, as six different players scored for the Bolts, who tallied one strike in the opening frame, two in the second period, adding three more in the final third, thus going 6-1-0 against the Stars in their eight-game season series thus far. Tampa Bay is riding a four-game winning streak on own ice.https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-1&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfX0%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1390339520391008258&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwinnersandwhiners.com%2Fgames%2Fnhl%2F5-7-2021%2Fdallas-stars-vs-tampa-bay-lightning-prediction-263%2F&sessionId=87f2caf80a48ea78a844128cc14b674affae413a&siteScreenName=WinnersWhiners&theme=light&widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&width=550px
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy (31-8-1 on the year with a 2.10 GAA and a .928 save percentage) turned aside 20 shots in his 300th NHL game. He has registered an 11-1-3 career record versus Dallas with a 1.91 GAA and a .932 save percentage, while Curtis McElhinney (4-5-2 this season with a 2.91 GAA and a .879 save percentage) has gone 7-2-0 against the Stars previously with a 2.07 GAA and a .936 save percentage. The Lightning are 5th in most goals scored per game during the current campaign (3.34), 5th in least goals given up on average (2.47) and 5th in both power play (23.6%) and penalty kill (83.6%).Free Daily Lock Pick: NBA: LA Lakers vs. Portland – May 7th – (100% Confidence Release)
Dallas (according to Covers.com)
- Stars are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Stars are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Tampa Bay (according to Covers.com)
- Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.
- Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Best Bets for this Game
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The Lightning have been so good against the Stars lately, beating them on 10 of the past 12 occasions, that it is almost impossible to envisage Dallas banking a win in Tampa Bay, where the Texans have managed to triumph just once in the last five-and-a-half years. The Stars need a win here to keep their postseason hope alive. Still, they have already failed on their very last four road assignments, are 0-6 in their most recent six fixtures as road underdogs and have won just one of their last seven outings following a defeat by a margin of at least three snipes. In other words – expect the Bolts to extend their domestic winning streak to five games!Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning (-160)
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Full-Game Total Pick
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Even though both teams combined for eight strikes in their previous contest, six of their last nine overall encounters have all been low-scoring bouts, averaging no more than 3.33 tallies per game. So, do bank on the next contest between Tampa Bay and Dallas to deliver just a modest quantity of strikes once again! After losing by a margin of at least three markers in their previous outing, the Stars have already gone below the set goal-mark on 33 of the past 51 occasions. A whopping 13 of the most recent 20 domestic contests of the Bolts, meanwhile, have all produced just a minimal number of snipes.Prediction: Under 5.5