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Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#241 Philadelphia Flyers vs.
#242 Washington Capitals
Friday, May 7, 2021 at 7:00pm EDT
Capital One Arena, Washington
Written by Chris Kubala
It’s a battle of teams from the East Division on the ice in the nation’s capital as the regular season winds down. The Philadelphia Flyers are on the road as they travel to face the Washington Capitals Friday night in the opening game of a two-game back-to-back set. Philadelphia was drubbed 7-3 by Pittsburgh Tuesday night in their most recent contest. Washington swept a two-game road set with the Rangers as they skated off with a 4-2 victory on Wednesday night in their most recent contest. In the season series, the Capitals have won five of the six meetings, including each of the last five. The most recent meeting was a 6-3 road victory on April 17.
Philadelphia Flyers Playing Out the String
Philadelphia was clobbered Tuesday night by Pittsburgh in the second game of a two-game set at home to end up with a split. The Flyers entered Thursday sixth in the East Division and have been eliminated from playoff contention as they stood 15 points behind the fourth-place Islanders and 20 back of Washington and Pittsburgh for the division lead. Philadelphia is an average offensive team as they average 2.85 goals per game this season, leaving them tied for 15th in the league. The Flyers are below average in their own zone, ranking 31st as they enter this game allowing 3.60 goals per contest. Philadelphia is below average with the man advantage, ranking 19th in the league with the man advantage by converting 19.5% of their power play chances this season. The Flyers are a below average team in penalty killing, ranking 30th, as they successfully navigate just 71.9% of their shorthanded situations this season.https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfX0%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1389753413043359744&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwinnersandwhiners.com%2Fgames%2Fnhl%2F5-7-2021%2Fphiladelphia-flyers-vs-washington-capitals-prediction-1406%2F&sessionId=95d1c2884e819ed5bc1de511ac82a2ef6712e060&siteScreenName=WinnersWhiners&theme=light&widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&width=550px
Back to ONE!
The @NHLFlyers are right back in it. 🚨 pic.twitter.com/m4AYGdlwrB— NHL on NBC Sports (@NHLonNBCSports) May 5, 2021
On Tuesday night, the Flyers had the roles reversed from their 7-2 win in the opening game of the two-game set at Pittsburgh put the boots to them. The Flyers were outshot 11-7 in the opening period of play and trailed 1-0 after 20 minutes of action. In the second period, Philadelphia held a 13-12 edge in shots on goal with both teams scoring twice to trail 3-2 after 40 minutes of action. After giving up a pair of goals to trail 3-0, Justin Braun scored his first of the year at 8:21 off assists from Wade Allison and Ivan Provorov to cut the deficit to two goals. Sean Couturier made it a one-goal game with his 16th of the year at 18:40 off assists from Travis Sanheim and Claude Giroux. In the third period, Philadelphia had a 13-8 edge in shots on goal but they were outscored 4-1 to wind up getting blown out. After falling behind 4-2. Travis Konecny got the Flyers back within a goal with his 11th of the year at 10:23 off assists from Shayne Gostisbehere and Giroux. That was as close as Philadelphia would get as the Penguins put the game away with three unanswered goals. Brian Elliott made 24 saves in the loss for the Flyers, who held a 33-31 edge in shots on goal. He likely gets the call in goal again here.
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Washington Capitals Battling for Top Spot in East Division
Washington won a bloodbath with the Rangers to sweep a two-game series, two nights after Tom Wilson sucker punched Pavel Buchnevich and ragdolled Artemi Panarin. The Capitals have clinched a playoff spot and entered Thursday tied for the top spot with the Penguins in the East Division. Washington is a prolific offensive team as they average 3.43 goals per game (2nd) this season. The Capitals are mediocre on the defensive end of the ice as they allow 2.92 goals per game (18th) on the year. Washington is excellent with the man advantage as they cash in 25.9% (3rd) of their power play chances this season. The Capitals are above average in penalty killing as they successfully work through 83.4% (7th) of their shorthanded situations this season.https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=false&embedId=twitter-widget-1&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2hvcml6b25fdHdlZXRfZW1iZWRfOTU1NSI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJodGUiLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfX0%3D&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1390101765618495491&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwinnersandwhiners.com%2Fgames%2Fnhl%2F5-7-2021%2Fphiladelphia-flyers-vs-washington-capitals-prediction-1406%2F&sessionId=95d1c2884e819ed5bc1de511ac82a2ef6712e060&siteScreenName=WinnersWhiners&theme=light&widgetsVersion=82e1070%3A1619632193066&width=550px
Oshbabe’s 20th goal of the season! pic.twitter.com/JQPmfAY8XV— x – Washington Capitals (@Capitals) May 6, 2021
In Wednesday’s game, the Capitals saw three fights break out right off the opening faceoff as the teams combined for 100 penalty minutes in the first period, but eventually went on to the win. Washington saw the shots even at 11 in the opening period of action and the teams skated off scoreless after 20 minutes. In the second period, the Capitals held a 14-3 edge in shots and a 3-0 edge on the scoreboard to lead by that margin after two periods of play. T.J. Oshie opened the scoring with his 19th goal of the season, on the power play, 12 seconds into the stanza, off assists from Brenden Dillon and Trevor van Riemsdyk. Oshie made it a 2-0 game with his second of the contest and 20th of the season, on the power play, at 8:26 off assists from Nicklas Backstrom and Dmitry Orlov. Nic Dowd made it a 3-0 game with his 11th of the season at 14:48 off assists from John Carlson and Orlov. In the third period, Washington held a 10-7 edge in shots and was outscored 2-1 but hung on for the win. After seeing the lead trimmed to 3-1, Oshie capped the hat trick with his third of the game and 21st of the year, into an empty net, at 18:20 off assists from Carl Hagelin and Orlov to salt the game away. The Capitals gave up a goal shortly after but skated away with the victory. Vitek Vanacek made 19 saves for Washington, who held a 35-21 edge in shots on goal, in the win. He should get the call between the pipes for this contest.Free Daily Lock Pick: NBA: LA Lakers vs. Portland – May 7th – (100% Confidence Release)
The top trends for this contest are:
- Flyers are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game
- Flyers are 1-4 in their last 5 overall
- Capitals are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status: INACTIVE
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This is a matchup of teams with opposite situations as the regular season winds down. Philadelphia has fallen apart as their goaltending has been horrific after taking steps forward last season. Washington is still fighting for the top spot in a crowded East Division race where the four playoff teams are separated by all of five points. The Capitals have some momentum with back-to-back wins over the Rangers and they have plenty to play for at this stage. Washington is a very good team and they have a terrific offensive attack. Seeing what’s at stake for the Capitals, you have to think they’re motivated and that helps carry them to a victory here.Prediction: Washington Capitals -1.5
Want a second opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status: INACTIVE
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Philadelphia has been an over machine this season as they have gone over the total in 34 of their 53 contests on the season. The Flyers have seen an average of 6.45 goals a night in their games on the year. That number climbs to 6.58 goals a night when they are the home team. Between their terrific offensive attack and their lousy goaltending, the Capitals have been prolific at going over the total this season. As it stands, the over has gone 31-19-3 in their 53 games this season entering Thursday. Washington has seen an average total of 6.36 goals per game, a number that edges down slightly to 6.12 goals per game as the home team this season. We’ve seen the teams combine for 11, four, eight, nine, seven and nine goals this season in their meetings. Look for this one to end up over the total, especially with the way the Capitals are clicking right now, coupled with the Flyers’ miserable goaltending.Prediction: Over 6